Freddy releases a two play package in two marquee match ups between 4 PAC 12 opponents with USC going on the road to face Arizona State while Utah will face Oregon. This package is guaranteed to profit and includes Freddy's full in depth analysis. Freddy has dominated week 4 action in college football over his career going 35-22-2 against the spread, and is 81-47 ATS over his last 128 football picks while ranking #1 overall in career college football profit!


It’s hard not to take Utah here, because what wins or covers on the road is defense and a good running game and Utah has both. They also have a huge edge on special teams and coaching. Kyle Whittingham is a very good coach and Mark Helfrich has to prove that he is this year without Mariotta, and being in his 3rd year with mostly the guys he’s recruited, and it hasn’t been a good start.

There are a lot of red flags for Helfrich in my opinion who has 12 guys returning. This team was also extremely lucky last year with +23 TO’s which obviously is hard to repeat. Oregon is 67th in yards per play allowed and they haven’t played anyone besides Michigan State, they are also 67th in run defense to Utah’s 34th. Even more important is the fact that they have allowed teams 80% TD% success in the red zone on 15 attempts. Whether it’s in garbage time or not and if Oregon plays well they will leave the back door cover open, but I don’t think it comes to that. Devontae Booker will have a good enough game, and whether it’s Travis Wilson or Kendal Thompson it shouldn’t matter. Utah has the edge with their kickers Andy Phillips and Tom Hacket and were 5-1 on the road last year beating UCLA, Michigan, Stanford, and only lost to Arizona State by 3.


This seems like a trap game here after USC lost to Stanford at home they are still 6 point favorites on the road. I really think it says a lot about what Arizona State thinks about USC, but I’m not buying into it. I think Arizona State has a lot to look forward to this year, and they haven’t played great the last few weeks. You could argue they are saving it for this game as it is their most important game of the year. Arizona State was not supposed to be good last year in a rebuilding year but pulled off 10 wins, and this year they return 16 starters. Todd Graham is getting the most out of his players and it seems like the opposite for Steve Sarkisian. Every time there is a big game he seems to lose, and despite the enormous amount of talent on this Trojans team I just think value is with the home team who will have a shot at pulling off the upset.

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